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Primjena metodologije sistemske dinamike u analizi stanovništva

Turina, August

Migracijske i etničke teme, 2009-09, Vol.25 (3), p.189-211 [Periódico revisado por pares]

Institut za migracije i narodnosti

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  • Título:
    Primjena metodologije sistemske dinamike u analizi stanovništva
  • Autor: Turina, August
  • Assuntos: complexity ; dinamički sistemi ; dynamic systems ; feedback ; kompleksnost ; populacija ; population ; povratna veza ; sistemska dinamika ; sistemsko promišljanje ; Social Sciences ; system dynamics ; systems thinking
  • É parte de: Migracijske i etničke teme, 2009-09, Vol.25 (3), p.189-211
  • Notas: 44060
  • Descrição: The goal of this work is to present the application of system dynamics and system thinking, as well as the advantages and possible defects of this analytic approach, in order to improve the analysis of complex systems such as population and, thereby, to monitor more effectively the underlying causes of migrations. This methodology has long been present in interdisciplinary scientific circles, but its scientific contribution has not been sufficiently applied in analysis practice in Croatia. Namely, the major part of system analysis is focused on detailed complexity rather than on dynamic complexity. Generally, the science of complexity deals with emergence, innovation, learning and adaptation. Complexity is viewed according to the number of system components, or through a number of combinations that must be continually analyzed in order to understand and consequently provide adequate decisions. Simulations containing thousands of variables and complex arrays of details distract overall attention from the basic cause patterns and key inter-relations emerging and prevailing within an analyzed population. Systems thinking offers a holistic and integral perspective for observation of the world.
  • Editor: Institut za migracije i narodnosti
  • Idioma: Croatian;Inglês;Francês

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