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The Trade Origins of Economic Nationalism: Import Competition and Voting Behavior in Western Europe

Colantone, Italo ; Stanig, Piero

American journal of political science, 2018-10, Vol.62 (4), p.936-953 [Periódico revisado por pares]

Oxford: Wiley Subscription Services, Inc

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  • Título:
    The Trade Origins of Economic Nationalism: Import Competition and Voting Behavior in Western Europe
  • Autor: Colantone, Italo ; Stanig, Piero
  • Assuntos: Competition ; Economic nationalism ; Election results ; Elections ; Globalization ; Imports ; Nationalism ; Political parties ; Radicalism ; Specialization ; Voter behavior ; Voters ; Voting
  • É parte de: American journal of political science, 2018-10, Vol.62 (4), p.936-953
  • Notas: We thank Laura Brogi, Jacopo Maria D'Andria, Francesco D'Angelo, Matteo Greco, Giorgio Pietrabissa, and Ambra Seck for excellent research assistance. We are grateful to Janne Tukiainen and Elias Einiö for helping us find data on Finland. We thank Tommaso Aquilante, Guido Tabellini, Cristoph Trebesch, Stephane Wolton, Maurizio Zanardi, and seminar participants at the Bank of Italy, Bocconi University, Roma Tre University, the University of Halle, the EPSA 2016 meeting in Brussels, and the workshop on Electoral Realignments in Advanced Democracies at Princeton University for helpful comments. The article has greatly benefited from the remarks and suggestions of the Editor, William Jacoby, and three anonymous referees. The usual disclaimer applies.
    This article was published online on April 18, 2018. Subsequently, the editorial team determined that the authors had omitted references to one of their related papers from the manuscript which therefore were not available as part of the peer review process. That publication has been added to the text and references.
  • Descrição: We investigate the impact of globalization on electoral outcomes in 15 Western European countries over 1988–2007. We employ both official election results at the district level and individual-level voting data, combined with party ideology scores from the Comparative Manifesto Project. We compute a region-specific measure of exposure to Chinese imports, based on the historical industry specialization of each region. To identify the causal impact of the import shock, we instrument imports to Europe using Chinese imports to the United States. At the district level, a stronger import shock leads to (1) an increase in support for nationalist and isolationist parties, (2) an increase in support for radical-right parties, and (3) a general shift to the right in the electorate. These results are confirmed by the analysis of individual-level vote choices. In addition, we find evidence that voters respond to the shock in a sociotropic way.
  • Editor: Oxford: Wiley Subscription Services, Inc
  • Idioma: Inglês
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  • Realização: ABCD-USP USP   Logos de Redes Sociais: Freepik

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