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Elites, Oil, and Democratization: A Survival Analysis

Gurses, Mehmet

Social science quarterly, 2011-03, Vol.92 (1), p.164-184 [Periódico revisado por pares]

Malden, USA: Blackwell Publishing Inc

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  • Título:
    Elites, Oil, and Democratization: A Survival Analysis
  • Autor: Gurses, Mehmet
  • Assuntos: Authoritarianism ; Comparative and Political Studies ; Conflict ; Democracy ; Democratization ; Development sociology ; Economic resources ; Elites ; Fear ; Income inequality ; Inequality ; Lower class ; Natural Resources ; Oil ; Petroleum ; Political Systems ; Polities ; Poor ; Social classes ; Social Conflict ; Social conflicts ; Sociology ; Sociology of economy and development ; Survival ; Survival analysis ; Upper class ; Wealth ; Wealth distribution
  • É parte de: Social science quarterly, 2011-03, Vol.92 (1), p.164-184
  • Notas: istex:D2BA93CCE5FC92880D1BF3B91A19CBF3A6D7EE3E
    Direct correspondence to Mehmet Gurses, Department of Political Science, Florida Atlantic University, 777 Glades Rd., Social Science 384, Boca Raton, FL 33431-0991 〈gurses@fau.edu〉. The data and coding information are available upon request. The author thanks David Mason, John Both, Andrew Enterline, Michael Greig, Francesca Campbell, Dukhong Kim, Robert L. Lineberry, and two anonymous reviewers for their invaluable feedback and contributions.
    ark:/67375/WNG-DGG6H5HF-L
    ArticleID:SSQU762
    *
    Direct correspondence to Mehmet Gurses, Department of Political Science, Florida Atlantic University, 777 Glades Rd., Social Science 384, Boca Raton, FL 33431‐0991
    gurses@fau.edu
    The data and coding information are available upon request. The author thanks David Mason, John Both, Andrew Enterline, Michael Greig, Francesca Campbell, Dukhong Kim, Robert L. Lineberry, and two anonymous reviewers for their invaluable feedback and contributions.
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    ObjectType-Article-2
    ObjectType-Feature-1
  • Descrição: Objective. This study explores the relationship between natural resource wealth, most notably oil, and democratic survival. I contend that natural resources help sustain democratic regimes by easing social conflict between the rich and the poor. As such, the availability of abundant natural resource revenues alleviates the elites' fear of redistribution of wealth, thereby stabilizing the regime. Methods. I estimate a series of survival analyses for the period between 1960 and 1999. Results. Elite support and oil wealth independendy help stabilize democracies. Conclusions. The results bring the widely held views on the link between oil and democracy into question and invite further scrutiny.
  • Editor: Malden, USA: Blackwell Publishing Inc
  • Idioma: Inglês
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