Idioma:

The importance of soils in predicting the future of plant habitat suitability in a tropical forest

Zuquim, G. ; Costa, F. R. C. ; Tuomisto, H. ; Moulatlet, G. M. ; Figueiredo, F. O. G.

Plant and soil, 2020-05, Vol.450 (1-2), p.151-170 [Periódico revisado por pares]

Cham: Springer International Publishing

Texto completo disponível

Citações Citado por

Enviar para

Título:
The importance of soils in predicting the future of plant habitat suitability in a tropical forest
Autor: Zuquim, G. ; Costa, F. R. C. ; Tuomisto, H. ; Moulatlet, G. M. ; Figueiredo, F. O. G.
Assuntos: Algorithms ; Atmospheric models ; Biodiversity ; Biological diversity ; Biomedical and Life Sciences ; Carbon dioxide ; Climate change ; Climate models ; Climate prediction ; Ecology ; Flowers & plants ; Geographical distribution ; Global temperature changes ; Habitats ; Life Sciences ; Plant Physiology ; Plant Sciences ; Plant species ; Regular Article ; Soil investigations ; Soil Science & Conservation ; Soils ; Species ; Tropical forests
É parte de: Plant and soil, 2020-05, Vol.450 (1-2), p.151-170
Descrição: Aims Assessment of the future of biodiversity under climate change has been based on climate-only models. We investigated the effects of including soil information when predicting future suitable areas for selected plant species in Amazonia. Methods We modelled current and future suitable habitats for 35 plant species and compared results of climate-only models with those obtained when climatic and edaphic variables were included. We considered six climatic scenarios for 2050 using different algorithms and projections of atmospheric CO 2 concentration. Results Twenty-five species distribution models had an AUC > 0.69. Out of those, edaphic variables had the greatest contribution in 11 species models, while climatic variables were more important for 14 species. The inclusion of soil variables affected the size and shape of predicted suitable areas, especially in future models. For nearly half of the species, the size of future suitable areas were smaller in climate+soil models than predicted by climate-only models. Area reduction was more extreme in future scenarios with the higher level of CO 2 concentration. Conclusions Our results highlight the importance of moving beyond climatic scenarios when modelling biodiversity responses to climate change. Failure to include soils in the models can overestimate future habitat suitability for many plant species.
Editor: Cham: Springer International Publishing
Idioma: Inglês

Voltar para lista de resultados

Anterior Resultado 2 Avançar Ir para próxima página

Realização: Logos de Redes Sociais:

The importance of soils in predicting the future of plant habitat suitability in a tropical forest

Zuquim, G. ; Costa, F. R. C. ; Tuomisto, H. ; Moulatlet, G. M. ; Figueiredo, F. O. G.

Cham: Springer International Publishing

Buscando em bases de dados remotas. Favor aguardar.