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Don't Panic

Shapiro, Walter

The New republic, 2024-04, Vol.255 (4), p.4

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Título:
Don't Panic
Autor: Shapiro, Walter
Assuntos: Candidates ; Political campaigns ; Presidential elections ; Presidents ; Voter behavior
É parte de: The New republic, 2024-04, Vol.255 (4), p.4
Notas: content type line 24
ObjectType-Feature-1
SourceType-Magazines-1
Descrição: The 2024 presidential election between Biden and Trump is shaping up to be a battle of known unknowns, with external events playing a significant role in shaping voting behavior and turnout. Unlike most elections, both candidates are familiar figures, leaving little room for them to define themselves. Swing voters are becoming increasingly rare, with the majority of voters sticking to their party allegiance. Political science research suggests that early campaign spending and TV spots have little effect on these voters. Democrats are facing challenges in maintaining support among Black, Hispanic, and younger voters, but historical trends show that apathetic voters tend to come home eventually. The UFC has become a centerpiece of Trump's campaign, as the organization aligns itself with the right and has a long-standing relationship with the former president. The significance of campaign gambits and debates is likely to be exaggerated, and negotiations for debates between Biden and Trump may break down. Ultimately, the outcome of the election will be influenced by external events and unknown factors.
Editor: Washington: New Republic
Idioma: Inglês

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