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Depletion of fossil fuels and anthropogenic climate change—A review
Höök, Mikael ; Tang, Xu
Energy policy, 2013-01, Vol.52, p.797-809
[Periódico revisado por pares]
Kidlington: Elsevier Ltd
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Título:
Depletion of fossil fuels and anthropogenic climate change—A review
Autor:
Höök, Mikael
;
Tang, Xu
Assuntos:
Air pollution caused by fuel industries
;
Anthropogenic climate change
;
Applied sciences
;
Carbon dioxide
;
Carbon emissions
;
Climate
;
Climate change
;
climate models
;
Economic data
;
Emission scenarios
;
Emissions
;
Energy
;
Energy economics
;
Energy planning
;
Energy policy
;
Energy sources
;
Energy. Thermal use of fuels
;
Exact sciences and technology
;
Fossil fuel depletion
;
Fossil fuels
;
Fossil fuels and derived products
;
fuel production
;
Fysik med inriktning mot globala energiresurser
;
General, economic and professional studies
;
General. Regulations. Norms. Economy
;
Global warming
;
greenhouse gas emissions
;
Human influences
;
Metering. Control
;
people
;
Physics with specialization in Global Energy Resources
;
Planners
;
Politicians
;
Power generation
;
Production
;
Studies
É parte de:
Energy policy, 2013-01, Vol.52, p.797-809
Notas:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2012.10.046
ObjectType-Article-2
SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1
ObjectType-Feature-1
content type line 23
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ObjectType-Feature-2
Descrição:
Future scenarios with significant anthropogenic climate change also display large increases in world production of fossil fuels, the principal CO2 emission source. Meanwhile, fossil fuel depletion has also been identified as a future challenge. This chapter reviews the connection between these two issues and concludes that limits to availability of fossil fuels will set a limit for mankind's ability to affect the climate. However, this limit is unclear as various studies have reached quite different conclusions regarding future atmospheric CO2 concentrations caused by fossil fuel limitations. It is concluded that the current set of emission scenarios used by the IPCC and others is perforated by optimistic expectations on future fossil fuel production that are improbable or even unrealistic. The current situation, where climate models largely rely on emission scenarios detached from the reality of supply and its inherent problems are problematic. In fact, it may even mislead planners and politicians into making decisions that mitigate one problem but make the other one worse. It is important to understand that the fossil energy problem and the anthropogenic climate change problem are tightly connected and need to be treated as two interwoven challenges necessitating a holistic solution. ► Review of the development of emission scenarios. ► Survey of future fossil fuel trajectories used by the IPCC emission scenarios. ► Discussions on energy transitions in the light of oil depletion. ► Review of earlier studies of future climate change and fossil fuel limitations.
Editor:
Kidlington: Elsevier Ltd
Idioma:
Inglês
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