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Prediction, precaution, and policy under global change

Schindler, Daniel E ; Hilborn, Ray

Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science), 2015-02, Vol.347 (6225), p.953-954 [Periódico revisado por pares]

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Título:
Prediction, precaution, and policy under global change
Autor: Schindler, Daniel E ; Hilborn, Ray
Assuntos: Conservation ; Constraining ; Dynamics ; Ecosystems ; Environment management ; Environmental management ; Policies ; Precautions ; Strategy ; Uncertainty
É parte de: Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science), 2015-02, Vol.347 (6225), p.953-954
Notas: ObjectType-Article-1
SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1
ObjectType-Feature-2
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Descrição: A great deal of research to inform environmental conservation and management takes a predict-and-prescribe strategy in which improving forecasts about future states of ecosystems is the primary goal. But sufficiently thorough understanding of ecosystems needed to reduce deep uncertainties is probably not achievable, seriously limiting the potential effectiveness of the predict-and-prescribe approach. Instead, research should integrate more closely with policy development to identify the range of alternative plausible futures and develop strategies that are robust across these scenarios and responsive to unpredictable ecosystem dynamics.
Editor: Washington: The American Association for the Advancement of Science
Idioma: Inglês

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