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How much a dollar cost: Currency hierarchy as a driver of ecologically unequal exchange

Olk, Christopher

World development, 2024-08, Vol.180, p.106649, Article 106649 [Periódico revisado por pares]

Elsevier Ltd

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  • Título:
    How much a dollar cost: Currency hierarchy as a driver of ecologically unequal exchange
  • Autor: Olk, Christopher
  • Assuntos: Currency hierarchy ; Dependency theory ; Ecologically unequal exchange ; International monetary system ; International political economy ; Political ecology
  • É parte de: World development, 2024-08, Vol.180, p.106649, Article 106649
  • Descrição: •Countries that issue internationally acceptable currencies tend to have lower interest rates and higher price levels than those whose currencies are not internationally acceptable.•Differences in interest rates and price levels are likely to cause asymmetric transfers of biophysical resources from low-income to high-income countries.•Currency hierarchy can be empirically operationalized as a categorical variable based on the liquidity of currencies and the degree of monetary sovereignty of their issuers.•Ecologically unequal exchange is driven not only by diverging monetary compensation for exported resources, but also by the impact of currency hierarchy on countries’ trade balances.•Alternative explanations for the empirical correlations between currency hierarchy, interest rates, price levels, and ecologically unequal exchange have theoretically and empirically limited. Asymmetric transfers of biophysical resources from the Global South to the North are a key obstacle to sustainable development. The underlying causal drivers of this ‘ecologically unequal exchange’ are not well understood. This paper accounts for the causal role of hierarchy between currencies as one driver of ecologically unequal exchange. Drawing on dependency theory, I propose testable hypotheses that explain why countries that issue internationally acceptable currencies create net inflows of embodied labour, land, energy, raw materials, and carbon from countries whose currencies lack international acceptability: Countries with lower-ranking currencies face higher interest rates, which constrain their policy space, drive income outflows, and necessitate resource exports. Such countries also tend to have lower price levels (measured as the ratio between exchange rates and purchasing power parity rates) because their currencies are not demanded internationally, resulting in reduced dollar income per exported resource. To test these hypotheses, I use a novel categorical operationalization of currency hierarchy. I compare different observable correlations to the theoretical correlations implied by the proposed hypotheses, and test multiple regression models against cross-country data. Overall, the results are consistent with the hypotheses. Considering alternative explanations, the conclusion seems justified that currency hierarchy is a significant driver of ecologically unequal exchange, and that this mechanism operates specifically through cross-country divergences in interest rates and exchange rates. In short, the monetary cost of a dollar impacts the biophysical cost of a dollar.
  • Editor: Elsevier Ltd
  • Idioma: Inglês

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