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The Country in the Future: Methodological Aspects and Scenarios

Wright, James Terence C ; Spers, Renata Giovinazzo

Estudos avançados, 2006-01, Vol.20 (56), p.13-28 [Periódico revisado por pares]

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Título:
The Country in the Future: Methodological Aspects and Scenarios
Autor: Wright, James Terence C ; Spers, Renata Giovinazzo
Assuntos: Brazil ; Development Strategies ; Forecasting
É parte de: Estudos avançados, 2006-01, Vol.20 (56), p.13-28
Notas: ObjectType-Article-1
SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1
content type line 23
ObjectType-Feature-2
Descrição: This article presents the objectives, methodology & initial findings of a scenario generating effort for the year 2022 for Brazil, & demonstrates the importance & feasibility of using scenarios to plan the country's future. We present Global & Institutional scenarios created by a IEA-USP team within the "Brasil 3 Tempos" project, coordinated by the Strategic Issues Nucleus of the Presidency of the Republic. The results show that it was possible to integrate in a productive manner the views of over 200 experts, creating consistent & plausible future scenarios. Structured visions of the future are fundamental to determining long term strategic actions required to reach desired future states, in the context of the myriad transformations & opportunities in a changing world scene. Keywords: Scenarios; Delphi; Future; Development strategy; Forecasting. Adapted from the source document.
Idioma: Português

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